Conf = MAC State = PA
Nickname = Colonials Coach = Courtney GroveGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.3293991 home-field advantage = -0.83 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 209 A Ohio State Big Ten ( 8- 9, 90.5) 3-19 218 H Cincinnati American (10- 7, 87.7) 0-15 222 H Boston College Atlantic Coas (16- 3, 99.7) 2-23 224 A Bucknell Patriot Leagu ( 5-10, 84.6) 11-17 228 A St Francis Northeast ( 8- 8, 80.9) 9-15 302 A George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 4-13, 81.6) 9-16 308 A Queens Atlantic Sun ( 9- 8, 86.2) 13- 8 312 A Mount St Marys Metro Atlanti ( 8- 9, 87.3) 6-15 316 H Canisius Metro Atlanti (11- 7, 85.6) 7- 8 317 H Akron MAC ( 7- 9, 81.3) 10- 9 323 A Kent State MAC ( 6-11, 82.0) 11-10 330 H Detroit Mercy MAC ( 5-11, 81.7) 9-12 407 A Central Michigan MAC ( 5-12, 83.0) 6-13 409 A Pittsburgh Atlantic Coas ( 5-13, 88.3) 2-19 413 H Youngstown State MAC ( 0-16, 77.1) 17- 6 416 H Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 81.4) 14- 8 427 A Eastern Michigan MAC ( 7- 8, 82.1) 12-10 502 N Eastern Michigan MAC ( 7- 8, 82.1)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 A Ohio State 3-19 -16 -9 0.00 218 H Cincinnati 0-15 -15 -5 -1.70 222 H Boston College 2-23 -21 -17 0.00 224 A Bucknell 11-17 -6 -3 - -2.11 228 A St Francis 9-15 -6 0 -- -5.81 302 A George Washington 9-16 -7 0 --- -6.19 308 A Queens 13- 8 5 -5 +++ 10.48 312 A Mount St Marys 6-15 -9 -6 -0.46 316 H Canisius 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.17 317 H Akron 10- 9 1 1 -0.11 323 A Kent State 11-10 1 -1 + 2.25 330 H Detroit Mercy 9-12 -3 0 - -3.75 407 A Central Michigan 6-13 -7 -2 -- -4.71 409 A Pittsburgh 2-19 -17 -7 0.00 413 H Youngstown State 17- 6 11 5 1.69 416 H Duquesne 14- 8 6 1 ++ 4.94 427 A Eastern Michigan 12-10 2 -1 + 3.31UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 A George Washington 9-16 -7 0 --- -6.19 228 A St Francis 9-15 -6 0 -- -5.81 407 A Central Michigan 6-13 -7 -2 -- -4.71 224 A Bucknell 11-17 -6 -3 - -2.11 330 H Detroit Mercy 9-12 -3 0 - -3.75OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A Queens 13- 8 5 -5 +++ 10.48 416 H Duquesne 14- 8 6 1 ++ 4.94 316 H Canisius 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.17 323 A Kent State 11-10 1 -1 + 2.25 427 A Eastern Michigan 12-10 2 -1 + 3.31
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 81.58 Power Rank................. 109 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 66.58 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 101 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .4730 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 112 RPI Rating............... .4012 RPI Rank................... 105 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 106 Selection sum ........... 319 Selection Rank ............ 110 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -225. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 102 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -225. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 102 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 13.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -4.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -8.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.3